Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.422328 0.487223 0.557819 0.640194 0.733547 0.835925 0.956570
2025-09-14 0.302520 0.388700 0.491755 0.623481 0.786739 0.981740 1.231550
2025-09-21 0.234335 0.326536 0.444855 0.606582 0.820450 1.091968 1.460895
2025-09-28 0.189621 0.282860 0.409767 0.593090 0.848675 1.189506 1.674903
2025-10-05 0.165343 0.261532 0.399208 0.607615 0.911342 1.333261 1.957893
2025-10-12 0.150632 0.250962 0.401072 0.637787 0.996278 1.512087 2.301440
2025-10-19 0.135152 0.236466 0.394478 0.653323 1.059492 1.663059 2.615058
2025-10-26 0.120352 0.220627 0.383306 0.659526 1.107595 1.793695 2.906553
2025-11-02 0.106468 0.204153 0.368733 0.657898 1.141947 1.904364 3.173820
2025-11-09 0.093388 0.187115 0.350937 0.648434 1.161698 1.992222 3.409931
2025-11-16 0.082297 0.172047 0.334569 0.639177 1.180022 2.077783 3.646618
2025-11-23 0.071118 0.155179 0.312892 0.617943 1.175213 2.123796 3.820038
2025-11-30 0.068050 0.154044 0.320354 0.650769 1.269090 2.344126 4.303977
2025-12-07 0.059300 0.140104 0.301966 0.633625 1.271646 2.408070 4.525810
2025-12-14 0.051751 0.127534 0.284662 0.616461 1.272075 2.467400 4.742413
2025-12-21 0.045546 0.116947 0.270017 0.602767 1.277360 2.534978 4.977065
2025-12-28 0.042597 0.113352 0.269492 0.617509 1.338764 2.709187 5.416160
2026-01-04 0.041196 0.113215 0.276332 0.648128 1.433935 2.952433 5.997586
2026-01-11 0.038735 0.110121 0.276263 0.663894 1.500029 3.144247 6.493341
2026-01-18 0.035830 0.105460 0.272089 0.670189 1.546807 3.301287 6.931496
2026-01-25 0.032703 0.099732 0.264736 0.668536 1.576393 3.425848 7.313185
2026-02-01 0.029429 0.093084 0.254390 0.658933 1.587881 3.514524 7.628845
2026-02-08 0.026517 0.086965 0.244590 0.649539 1.598848 3.602428 7.947548